Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 4? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit on September 4?· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 4?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $50K has changed hands so far, $50K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 5, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-86¢ over the window

-86¢

24h change

$50K

24h volume

$50K

total volume

Sep 5, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±13¢ swing band
11m ago
High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
33m ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 2¢ (-65.6¢ in 15 min)
33m ago
conviction signal
47m ago
High volatility
±57.2¢ swing band
49m ago
Odds swing
92¢ → 2¢ (-89.5¢ in 15 min)
49m ago
High volatility
±17.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 92¢ (+89.7¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±43.9¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±39.1¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.