Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in September?· see all 17 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?" is trading at a 83% implied probability, with YES at 83¢ and NO at 17¢. $93K has changed hands so far, $30K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

83%

implied probability

YES 83¢NO 17¢

recent price

+67¢ over the window

+67¢

24h change

$30K

24h volume

$93K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
13¢ → 76¢ (+63¢ in 15 min)
6m ago
High volatility
±11.9¢ swing band
21m ago
Odds swing
72¢ → 83¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
21m ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
36m ago
High volatility
±4.8¢ swing band
51m ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 77¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)
51m ago
High volatility
±13.1¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 74¢ (-21¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±6.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5.3¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.