Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1?· see all 15 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?" is trading at a 26% implied probability, with YES at 26¢ and NO at 74¢. $22K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

26%

implied probability

YES 26¢NO 74¢

recent price

+22¢ over the window

+22¢

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$22K

total volume

Nov 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
16m ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 32¢ (-37¢ in 15 min)
16m ago
High volatility
±12.8¢ swing band
31m ago
Odds swing
76¢ → 28¢ (-48¢ in 15 min)
31m ago
High volatility
±26.4¢ swing band
46m ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 27¢ (-42¢ in 15 min)
46m ago
High volatility
±26.3¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 34¢ (-35¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±15.6¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±18.4¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.