Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in November?· see all 18 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?" is trading at a 35% implied probability, with YES at 35¢ and NO at 66¢. $21K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

35%

implied probability

YES 35¢NO 66¢

recent price

-27¢ over the window

-27¢

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$21K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
12¢ → 37¢ (+25¢ in 15 min)
18m ago
High volatility
±6.3¢ swing band
33m ago
High volatility
±9¢ swing band
48m ago
High volatility
±11.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 37¢ (+30¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±14.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
37¢ → 15¢ (-22¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±21.8¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 34¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.