Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13? live odds

"Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $38K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$15K

24h volume

$38K

total volume

Sep 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    65¢ → 1¢ (-64¢ in 15 min)

    11h ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.2¢ swing band

    12h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.7¢ swing band

    15h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.2¢ swing band

    16h ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 89¢ (+85¢ in 15 min)

    16h ago
  • Volume spike

    $155 traded — 15.1× the average

    20h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.1¢ swing band

    22h ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.8¢ swing band

    23h ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,025 traded — 107.8× the average

    1d ago
  • Volume spike

    $500 traded — 52.3× the average

    1d ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$38K has been traded in total, $15K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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