Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — live odds

Part of Ballon d'Or Winner 2026· see all 31 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 96¢

recent price

-96¢ over the window

-96¢

24h change

$170K

24h volume

$472K

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±25.1¢ swing band
9m ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 99¢ (+95.7¢ in 15 min)
9m ago
High volatility
±7.7¢ swing band
25m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 70¢ (-29.4¢ in 15 min)
25m ago
High volatility
±8.7¢ swing band
40m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 70¢ (-29.4¢ in 15 min)
40m ago
High volatility
±32¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 70¢ (-29.4¢ in 15 min)
56m ago
High volatility
±26.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 70¢ (+66.6¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).