Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 100¢. $74K has changed hands so far, $358 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

-80¢ over the window

-80¢

24h change

$358

24h volume

$74K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±26¢ swing band

    2m ago
  • Odds swing

    45¢ → 0¢ (-45.2¢ in 15 min)

    2m ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.8¢ swing band

    17m ago
  • Odds swing

    48¢ → 78¢ (+29.7¢ in 15 min)

    17m ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.3¢ swing band

    35m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25¢ swing band

    52m ago
  • Odds swing

    34¢ → 79¢ (+45¢ in 15 min)

    52m ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.3¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    46¢ → 56¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$74K has been traded in total, $358 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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