Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? live odds

8%

implied probability

YES NO 92¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$76K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±5.6¢ swing band

    13m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 10¢ (-88¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 4¢ (-94¢ in 15 min)

    44m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 98¢ (+94¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.2¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    6¢ → 98¢ (+92.5¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 4¢ (-94¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 4¢ (-94¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?"?

The market currently prices YES at 8¢ and NO at 92¢, an implied probability of 8% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$76K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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