Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? final odds

This market has ended · August 1, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?" resolved on August 1, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $207K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES NO

recent price

24h change

$37K

24h volume

$207K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21.5¢ swing band

    44d ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 70¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)

    44d ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.8¢ swing band

    44d ago
  • Odds swing

    69¢ → 100¢ (+31.1¢ in 15 min)

    44d ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.9¢ swing band

    44d ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 100¢ (+97.9¢ in 15 min)

    44d ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,400 traded — 26.3× the average

    44d ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.6¢ swing band

    44d ago
  • Odds swing

    90¢ → 0¢ (-89.9¢ in 15 min)

    44d ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.5¢ swing band

    44d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?" resolve?

This market ended on August 1, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$207K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

From the blog

Related Crypto markets