Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November? — live odds

Part of What price will Ethereum hit in November?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?" is trading at a 10% implied probability, with YES at 10¢ and NO at 90¢. $109K has changed hands so far, $18K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

10%

implied probability

YES 10¢NO 90¢

recent price

+8¢ over the window

+8¢

24h change

$18K

24h volume

$109K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.5¢ swing band
24m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 11¢ (-88¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$133 traded — 18.9× the average
2h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.028¢ vs 0.0058¢ normal
3h ago
High volatility
±6.6¢ swing band
3h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.02¢ vs 0.0051¢ normal
5h ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
9¢ → 18¢ (+9.2¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±14.5¢ swing band
10h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.