
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? — live odds
"Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?" is trading at a 85% implied probability, with YES at 85¢ and NO at 15¢. $126K has changed hands so far, $28K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
85%
implied probability
recent price
+81¢ over the window
+81¢
24h change
$28K
24h volume
$126K
total volume
Dec 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 14m ago
High volatility
±17.2¢ swing band
- 37m ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 56¢ (-29¢ in 15 min)
- 44m ago
High volatility
±20.5¢ swing band
- 59m ago
High volatility
±10.4¢ swing band
- 1h ago
High volatility
±5.9¢ swing band
- 1h ago
High volatility
±30.7¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±6.8¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 43¢ (-52¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 14¢ (-85¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?"?
The market currently prices YES at 85¢ and NO at 15¢, an implied probability of 85% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
How much has been traded on this market?
$126K has been traded in total, $28K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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