Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?" is trading at a 13% implied probability, with YES at 13¢ and NO at 87¢. $22K has changed hands so far, $9K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

13%

implied probability

YES 13¢NO 87¢

recent price

-10¢ over the window

-10¢

24h change

$9K

24h volume

$22K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±18.8¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • Odds swing

    11¢ → 3¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.6¢ swing band

    43m ago
  • Odds swing

    72¢ → 9¢ (-63¢ in 15 min)

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.5¢ swing band

    59m ago
  • Odds swing

    89¢ → 20¢ (-69¢ in 15 min)

    59m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±50.3¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±39.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?"?

The market currently prices YES at 13¢ and NO at 87¢, an implied probability of 13% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$22K has been traded in total, $9K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

Related Crypto markets