
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August? — live odds
"Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?" is trading at a 15% implied probability, with YES at 14¢ and NO at 86¢. $63K has changed hands so far, $23K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
15%
implied probability
recent price
-3¢ over the window
-3¢
24h change
$23K
24h volume
$63K
total volume
Sep 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 30m ago
Volume spike
$233 traded — 7.5× the average
- 32m ago
High volatility
±19¢ swing band
- 47m ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 18¢ (-76¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
Odds swing
77¢ → 11¢ (-66¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 9¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Volume spike
$233 traded — 7.5× the average
- 2h ago
High volatility
±6.3¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 10¢ (-69¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±13.9¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?"?
The market currently prices YES at 14¢ and NO at 86¢, an implied probability of 15% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$63K has been traded in total, $23K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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