Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?" is trading at a 40% implied probability, with YES at 40¢ and NO at 61¢. $14K has changed hands so far, $5K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

40%

implied probability

YES 40¢NO 61¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$14K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    87¢ → 46¢ (-41¢ in 15 min)

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.5¢ swing band

    28m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.4¢ swing band

    44m ago
  • Odds swing

    42¢ → 17¢ (-25¢ in 15 min)

    44m ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.9¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    78¢ → 42¢ (-36¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±37.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.6¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±36.8¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±47.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?"?

The market currently prices YES at 40¢ and NO at 61¢, an implied probability of 40% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$14K has been traded in total, $5K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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