Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 60% implied probability, with YES at 60¢ and NO at 40¢. $207K has changed hands so far, $9K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

60%

implied probability

YES 60¢NO 40¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$9K

24h volume

$207K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±6.6¢ swing band

    8m ago
  • Odds swing

    19¢ → 55¢ (+36¢ in 15 min)

    8m ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.3¢ swing band

    25m ago
  • Odds swing

    65¢ → 79¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)

    25m ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.6¢ swing band

    40m ago
  • High volatility

    ±16.9¢ swing band

    55m ago
  • High volatility

    ±55.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.4¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.6¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    55¢ → 33¢ (-22¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 60¢ and NO at 40¢, an implied probability of 60% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$207K has been traded in total, $9K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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