Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18? — live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?" is trading at a 9% implied probability, with YES at 9¢ and NO at 92¢. $27K has changed hands so far, $16K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

9%

implied probability

YES 9¢NO 92¢

recent price

-76¢ over the window

-76¢

24h change

$16K

24h volume

$27K

total volume

Oct 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±31.6¢ swing band

    14m ago
  • Volume spike

    $46 traded — 7.4× the average

    22m ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.4¢ swing band

    29m ago
  • conviction signal

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $20 traded — 3.6× the average

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $70 traded — 12.5× the average

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    13¢ → 4¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.2¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 37¢ (+33¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?"?

The market currently prices YES at 9¢ and NO at 92¢, an implied probability of 9% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$27K has been traded in total, $16K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

From the blog

Related Crypto markets