Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? — live odds

Part of What price will Ethereum hit in August?· see all 22 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?" is trading at a 61% implied probability, with YES at 61¢ and NO at 39¢. $111K has changed hands so far, $59K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

61%

implied probability

YES 61¢NO 39¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$59K

24h volume

$111K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±11.7¢ swing band
13m ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 19¢ (-51¢ in 15 min)
13m ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
28m ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 59¢ (-10¢ in 15 min)
28m ago
High volatility
±4.8¢ swing band
43m ago
Odds swing
66¢ → 75¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
43m ago
Volume spike
$190 traded — 6.9× the average
50m ago
Odds swing
29¢ → 60¢ (+31¢ in 15 min)
58m ago
Volume spike
$176 traded — 6.3× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±27.1¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.