Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?" is trading at a 86% implied probability, with YES at 86¢ and NO at 14¢. $3K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

86%

implied probability

YES 86¢NO 14¢

recent price

+44¢ over the window

+44¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$3K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±46.3¢ swing band

    17m ago
  • Odds swing

    79¢ → 96¢ (+17¢ in 15 min)

    17m ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.4¢ swing band

    32m ago
  • High volatility

    ±36.3¢ swing band

    47m ago
  • Odds swing

    79¢ → 18¢ (-61¢ in 15 min)

    47m ago
  • Odds swing

    89¢ → 79¢ (-10¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    45¢ → 97¢ (+52¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±40.4¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.4¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?"?

The market currently prices YES at 86¢ and NO at 14¢, an implied probability of 86% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$3K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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