
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? — live odds
"Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $151K has changed hands so far, $44K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
3%
implied probability
recent price
-3¢ over the window
-3¢
24h change
$44K
24h volume
$151K
total volume
Nov 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 39m ago
Volume spike
$5,694 traded — 417.1× the average
- 2h ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
- 4h ago
High volatility
±28¢ swing band
- 5h ago
High volatility
±5.4¢ swing band
- 5h ago
Volume spike
$307 traded — 21.8× the average
- 5h ago
High volatility
±21.6¢ swing band
- 5h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 57¢ (+51.9¢ in 15 min)
- 6h ago
High volatility
±21.9¢ swing band
- 6h ago
High volatility
±34.7¢ swing band
- 6h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 85¢ (+83.8¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?"?
The market currently prices YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢, an implied probability of 3% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
How much has been traded on this market?
$151K has been traded in total, $44K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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