Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in November? — live odds

"Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in November?" is trading at a 13% implied probability, with YES at 13¢ and NO at 88¢. $93K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

13%

implied probability

YES 13¢NO 88¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$93K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    8¢ → 20¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±38.5¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 16¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±36.1¢ swing band

    42m ago
  • Odds swing

    23¢ → 2¢ (-21¢ in 15 min)

    42m ago
  • High volatility

    ±16.2¢ swing band

    58m ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 24¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)

    58m ago
  • Odds swing

    8¢ → 19¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±34.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    24¢ → 15¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in November?"?

The market currently prices YES at 13¢ and NO at 88¢, an implied probability of 13% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$93K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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