Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? — live odds

"Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?" is trading at a 71% implied probability, with YES at 71¢ and NO at 30¢. $19K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

71%

implied probability

YES 71¢NO 30¢

recent price

-9¢ over the window

-9¢

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$19K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21.9¢ swing band

    18m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.5¢ swing band

    33m ago
  • Odds swing

    75¢ → 64¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)

    37m ago
  • Odds swing

    68¢ → 44¢ (-24¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±35.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.3¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    33¢ → 95¢ (+62¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±34.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    70¢ → 17¢ (-53¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±36.6¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?"?

The market currently prices YES at 71¢ and NO at 30¢, an implied probability of 71% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$19K has been traded in total, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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