Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18? — live odds

"Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?" is trading at a 12% implied probability, with YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢. $29K has changed hands so far, $9K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

12%

implied probability

YES 12¢NO 88¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$9K

24h volume

$29K

total volume

Oct 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.025¢ vs 0.0083¢ normal

    6m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.3¢ swing band

    22m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.028¢ vs 0.0093¢ normal

    2h ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.028¢ vs 0.0088¢ normal

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.5¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    11¢ → 3¢ (-8.3¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±55.7¢ swing band

    7h ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.9¢ swing band

    8h ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.7¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.2¢ swing band

    10h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?"?

The market currently prices YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢, an implied probability of 12% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$29K has been traded in total, $9K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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