Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? — live odds

"Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?" is trading at a 11% implied probability, with YES at 11¢ and NO at 90¢. $83K has changed hands so far, $1K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

11%

implied probability

YES 11¢NO 90¢

recent price

+76¢ over the window

+76¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$83K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±19.1¢ swing band

    5m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.2¢ swing band

    35m ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 1¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)

    37m ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.7¢ swing band

    50m ago
  • High volatility

    ±12.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    42¢ → 7¢ (-35¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.7¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    56¢ → 42¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 10¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.4¢ swing band

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?"?

The market currently prices YES at 11¢ and NO at 90¢, an implied probability of 11% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$83K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

From the blog

Related Crypto markets