Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? — live odds

"Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $7K has changed hands so far, $115 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-87¢ over the window

-87¢

24h change

$115

24h volume

$7K

total volume

Oct 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±38.2¢ swing band

    5m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.8¢ swing band

    37m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 17¢ (+16.3¢ in 15 min)

    37m ago
  • High volatility

    ±43.4¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±50.4¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±42¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    87¢ → 100¢ (+12.9¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.4¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • Odds swing

    81¢ → 0¢ (-80.9¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.8¢ swing band

    4h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 19, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$7K has been traded in total, $115 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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