Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? — live odds

Part of What price will Ethereum hit in October?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $31K has changed hands so far, $316 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

$316

24h volume

$31K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
33¢ → 5¢ (-27.7¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±22¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±18.9¢ swing band
8h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 34¢ (+32.6¢ in 15 min)
8h ago
High volatility
±15.3¢ swing band
9h ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 37¢ (+31¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
High volatility
±15.1¢ swing band
1d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 56¢ (+52.4¢ in 15 min)
1d ago
High volatility
±24¢ swing band
1d ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 70¢ (+65¢ in 15 min)
1d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.