Will GameStop acquire eBay? live odds

15%

implied probability

YES 14¢NO 86¢

recent price

-83¢ over the window

-83¢

24h change

$13K

24h volume

$2.2M

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±55.9¢ swing band

    25d ago
  • High volatility

    ±36.4¢ swing band

    25d ago
  • High volatility

    ±57.6¢ swing band

    25d ago
  • High volatility

    ±47.9¢ swing band

    25d ago
  • Odds swing

    12¢ → 99¢ (+87¢ in 15 min)

    25d ago
  • High volatility

    ±48.7¢ swing band

    25d ago
  • Odds swing

    49¢ → 13¢ (-36¢ in 15 min)

    25d ago
  • High volatility

    ±46.5¢ swing band

    25d ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 16¢ (-82¢ in 15 min)

    25d ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.8¢ swing band

    25d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will GameStop acquire eBay?"?

The market currently prices YES at 14¢ and NO at 86¢, an implied probability of 15% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$2.2M has been traded in total, $13K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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