
Will GameStop acquire eBay? — live odds
15%
implied probability
recent price
-83¢ over the window
-83¢
24h change
$13K
24h volume
$2.2M
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 25d ago
High volatility
±55.9¢ swing band
- 25d ago
High volatility
±36.4¢ swing band
- 25d ago
High volatility
±57.6¢ swing band
- 25d ago
High volatility
±47.9¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 99¢ (+87¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±48.7¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 13¢ (-36¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±46.5¢ swing band
- 25d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 16¢ (-82¢ in 15 min)
- 25d ago
High volatility
±24.8¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will GameStop acquire eBay?"?
The market currently prices YES at 14¢ and NO at 86¢, an implied probability of 15% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$2.2M has been traded in total, $13K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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