Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? live odds

"Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?" is trading at a 46% implied probability, with YES at 46¢ and NO at 54¢. $81K has changed hands so far, $81K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 28, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

46%

implied probability

YES 46¢NO 54¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$81K

24h volume

$81K

total volume

Aug 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?"?

The market currently prices YES at 46¢ and NO at 54¢, an implied probability of 46% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 28, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k.

How much has been traded on this market?

$81K has been traded in total, $81K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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