Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? — live odds
"Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $40K has changed hands so far, $21K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 23, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$21K
24h volume
$40K
total volume
Oct 23, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 23, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY.
How much has been traded on this market?
$40K has been traded in total, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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