Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14? final odds

Resolved YES · August 14, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?" resolved YES on August 14, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $63K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

24h change

$51K

24h volume

$63K

total volume

Aug 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

Quick answers

How did "Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$63K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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