Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12? — live odds

"Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?" is trading at a 98% implied probability, with YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢. $74K has changed hands so far, $8K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO 2¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$8K

24h volume

$74K

total volume

Nov 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?"?

The market currently prices YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢, an implied probability of 98% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 13, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

How much has been traded on this market?

$74K has been traded in total, $8K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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