Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 8, 2026Final price 2¢ YES — the market gave this a 2% implied probability.

"Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?" resolved NO on August 8, 2026 at a final price of 2¢ YES — a 2% implied probability — after $125K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 2¢NO 98¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$21K

24h volume

$125K

total volume

Aug 8, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 8, 2026. Its final traded price was 2¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 2¢ — an implied probability of 2%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.