Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 11% implied probability, with YES at 11¢ and NO at 89¢. $315K has changed hands so far, $1K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

11%

implied probability

YES 11¢NO 89¢

recent price

-10¢ over the window

-10¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$315K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±19.3¢ swing band
12m ago
Odds swing
56¢ → 70¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)
12m ago
High volatility
±12.9¢ swing band
27m ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 70¢ (+21¢ in 15 min)
27m ago
High volatility
±13.7¢ swing band
43m ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 40¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)
43m ago
High volatility
±24.2¢ swing band
58m ago
Odds swing
25¢ → 10¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
58m ago
Odds swing
40¢ → 54¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±17.3¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.