Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 10% implied probability, with YES at 10¢ and NO at 90¢. $328K has changed hands so far, $250 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

10%

implied probability

YES 10¢NO 90¢

recent price

+38¢ over the window

+38¢

24h change

$250

24h volume

$328K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
12m ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 7¢ (-39¢ in 15 min)
12m ago
High volatility
±28.6¢ swing band
29m ago
High volatility
±33.5¢ swing band
45m ago
High volatility
±46.8¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 94¢ (+93¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±30.3¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 1¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±4.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 1¢ (-45¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.