Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? — live odds

Part of Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $989K has changed hands so far, $761 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$761

24h volume

$989K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±33.1¢ swing band
0m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 69¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
0m ago
High volatility
±20.4¢ swing band
15m ago
High volatility
±28.2¢ swing band
31m ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 3¢ (-65.9¢ in 15 min)
31m ago
High volatility
±20.3¢ swing band
46m ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 2¢ (-68.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±29.3¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±19.5¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 2¢ (-68.5¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.