Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? — final odds
"Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?" resolved YES on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $71K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
100%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$7K
24h volume
$71K
total volume
Nov 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
How did "Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?" resolve?
This market resolved YES on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$71K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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