Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? — final odds

Resolved YES · September 1, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?" resolved YES on September 1, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $76K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$50K

24h volume

$76K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$452 traded — 7.3× the average
18h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 5¢ (-94.8¢ in 15 min)
18h ago
Volume spike
$1,130 traded — 18.8× the average
18h ago
Volume spike
$220 traded — 3.7× the average
18h ago
High volatility
±6.2¢ swing band
18h ago
Odds swing
53¢ → 99¢ (+46.1¢ in 15 min)
18h ago
High volatility
±5.5¢ swing band
18h ago
Odds swing
89¢ → 99¢ (+9.6¢ in 15 min)
18h ago
Volume spike
$371 traded — 5.9× the average
19h ago
High volatility
±45.4¢ swing band
19h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Quick answers

How did "Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on September 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.