Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — live odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$43.1M
total volume
Nov 7, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 31d ago
High volatility
±18.5¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 1¢ (-78.3¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
Volume spike
$23 traded — 377.8× the average
- 31d ago
High volatility
±21.8¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 1¢ (-94.2¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
Volume spike
$191 traded — 3122.2× the average
- 31d ago
High volatility
±59¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
83¢ → 6¢ (-77.1¢ in 15 min)
- 31d ago
High volatility
±27.7¢ swing band
- 31d ago
Odds swing
40¢ → 94¢ (+54¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$43.1M has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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