Event odds table
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — live odds
42 outcomes$699.1M traded$1.6M · 24hresolves by November 7, 2028
Live Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 odds: J.D. Vance leads the field at 50% implied probability, ahead of Marco Rubio (19%) and Tucker Carlson (3%). All 42 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $699.1M traded ($1.6M in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 7, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
J.D. Vance 50%
implied probability (50¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 42
1J.D. Vance
50%50¢ · $5K 24h2Marco Rubio
19%19¢ · $3K 24h3Tucker Carlson
3%3¢ · $11K 24h4Ron DeSantis
3%3¢ · $1K 24h5Donald Trump
2%2¢ · $527 24h6Donald Trump Jr.
2%2¢ · $522 24h7Ted Cruz
2%2¢ · $15K 24h8Glenn Youngkin
1%1¢ · $475 24h9Tulsi Gabbard
1%1¢ · $840 24h10Ivanka Trump
1%1¢ · $460 24h11Thomas Massie
1%1¢ · $2K 24h12Pete Hegseth
0%0¢ · $995 24h13Marjorie Taylor Greene
0%0¢ · $257 24h14Byron Donalds
0%0¢ · $917 24h15Elise Stefanik
0%0¢ · $337 24h16Greg Abbott
0%0¢ · $15K 24h17Josh Hawley
0%0¢ · $906 24h18Brian Kemp
0%0¢ · $40K 24h19Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0%0¢ · $23K 24h20Katie Britt
0%0¢ · $1K 24h21Kim Kardashian
0%0¢ · $273 24h22Steve Bannon
0%0¢ · $401 24h23Rand Paul
0%0¢ · $32K 24h24Vivek Ramaswamy
0%0¢ · $13K 24h25Nikki Haley
0%0¢ · $35K 24h26Eric Trump
0%0¢ · $23K 24h27Candace Owens
0%0¢ · $21 24h28Mike Pence
0%0¢ · $392 24h29John Thune
0%0¢ · $1.2M 24h30Kristi Noem
0%0¢ · $526 24h31Sarah Huckabee Sanders
0%0¢ · $694 24h32Tom Brady
0%0¢ · $842 24h33Elon Musk
0%0¢ · $112K 24h34Matt Gaetz
0%0¢ · $117K 24h35Erika Kirk
0%0¢ · $839 24h36Joe Kent
0%0¢ · $699 24h37Tom Cotton
0%0¢ · $11 24h38Rick Scott
0%0¢ · $339 24h39Doug Burgum
0%0¢ · $9 24h40John N. Kennedy
0%0¢ · $265 24h41Mike Johnson
0%0¢ · $3 24h42Tim Scott
0%0¢ · $3 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- The market currently favors J.D. Vance at 50% implied probability (YES trading at 50¢).
- How much has been traded on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- $699.1M has been traded across 42 outcome markets, $1.6M of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
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