Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? — final odds

This market has ended · October 12, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?" resolved on October 12, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $34K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

—

24h change

$25K

24h volume

$34K

total volume

Oct 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0086¢ normal
2d ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 50¢ (-35.4¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±8.2¢ swing band
2d ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 98¢ (+90.5¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±30.1¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
45¢ → 1¢ (-44¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±25.9¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 0¢ (-80.2¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 18¢ (-62.3¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±20.1¢ swing band
3d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Quick answers

How did "Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?" resolve?

This market ended on October 12, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.