Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 12, 2026Final price 3¢ YES — the market gave this a 3% implied probability.

"Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?" resolved NO on October 12, 2026 at a final price of 3¢ YES — a 3% implied probability — after $49K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

3%

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

—

24h change

$48K

24h volume

$49K

total volume

Oct 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Quick answers

How did "Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 12, 2026. Its final traded price was 3¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 3¢ — an implied probability of 3%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$49K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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