Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 23, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?" resolved NO on August 23, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $38K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$33K

24h volume

$38K

total volume

Aug 23, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Quick answers

How did "Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 23, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.