Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? live odds

"Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?" is trading at a 99% implied probability, with YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢. $83K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$83K

total volume

Aug 15, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?"?

The market currently prices YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢, an implied probability of 99% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$83K has been traded in total, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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