Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? — live odds

Part of # of views of MrBeast video week 1?· see all 7 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $14K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 15, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

—

24h volume

$14K

total volume

Aug 15, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.