Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — live odds
22%
implied probability
recent price
-19¢ over the window
-19¢
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$137K
total volume
Jul 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 10d ago
High volatility
±54¢ swing band
- 10d ago
Odds swing
34¢ → 9¢ (-25¢ in 15 min)
- 10d ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 34¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
- 10d ago
High volatility
±9.5¢ swing band
- 10d ago
Odds swing
23¢ → 34¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
- 10d ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?"?
The market currently prices YES at 22¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 22% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$137K has been traded in total, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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