Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? — live odds

Part of OpenAI IPO by...?· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?" is trading at a 10% implied probability, with YES at 10¢ and NO at 91¢. $953K has changed hands so far, $529 of it in the past 24 hours. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.

10%

implied probability

YES 10¢NO 91¢

recent price

-6¢ over the window

-6¢

24h change

$529

24h volume

$953K

total volume

TBD

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±24.9¢ swing band
35d ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 69¢ (+52¢ in 15 min)
35d ago
High volatility
±36.8¢ swing band
35d ago
Odds swing
59¢ → 18¢ (-41¢ in 15 min)
35d ago
High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
57d ago
Odds swing
64¢ → 94¢ (+30¢ in 15 min)
57d ago
High volatility
±14.6¢ swing band
57d ago
Odds swing
18¢ → 72¢ (+54¢ in 15 min)
57d ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
57d ago
High volatility
±36.6¢ swing band
71d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.