Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? — live odds

Part of OpenAI IPO by...?· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

18%

implied probability

YES 18¢NO 83¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$837K

total volume

TBD

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
64¢ → 94¢ (+30¢ in 15 min)
12d ago
High volatility
±14.6¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
18¢ → 72¢ (+54¢ in 15 min)
12d ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
12d ago
High volatility
±36.6¢ swing band
26d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 2¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)
26d ago
Odds swing
62¢ → 27¢ (-35¢ in 15 min)
32d ago
High volatility
±5.5¢ swing band
32d ago
Odds swing
81¢ → 8¢ (-73¢ in 15 min)
32d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.