Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 97% implied probability, with YES at 97¢ and NO at 3¢. $355K has changed hands so far, $5K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

97%

implied probability

YES 97¢NO 3¢

recent price

+26¢ over the window

+26¢

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$355K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
9m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 97¢ (+16.9¢ in 15 min)
9m ago
High volatility
±22.8¢ swing band
25m ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 0¢ (-96.4¢ in 15 min)
25m ago
High volatility
±26.6¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 45¢ (-49.9¢ in 15 min)
56m ago
High volatility
±7¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 96¢ (+18.2¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 95¢ (+90.3¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±11.5¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.