Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? — live odds

Part of Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?" is trading at a 64% implied probability, with YES at 64¢ and NO at 36¢. $75K has changed hands so far, $24K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

64%

implied probability

YES 64¢NO 36¢

recent price

+3¢ over the window

+3¢

24h change

$24K

24h volume

$75K

total volume

Nov 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 0.13¢ vs 0.0256¢ normal
8m ago
High volatility
±7.2¢ swing band
16m ago
High volatility
±7.1¢ swing band
31m ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 72¢ (-15.2¢ in 15 min)
33m ago
High volatility
±9¢ swing band
46m ago
High volatility
±8¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±6.7¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
71¢ → 87¢ (+16.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 70¢ (-16.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±7¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.