Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? — live odds

Part of Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?" is trading at a 86% implied probability, with YES at 86¢ and NO at 14¢. $158K has changed hands so far, $7K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

86%

implied probability

YES 86¢NO 14¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$7K

24h volume

$158K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±26.5¢ swing band
7m ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 41¢ (-45.2¢ in 15 min)
7m ago
Odds swing
91¢ → 83¢ (-8.1¢ in 15 min)
22m ago
High volatility
±45.3¢ swing band
52m ago
Odds swing
73¢ → 83¢ (+9.7¢ in 15 min)
53m ago
High volatility
±49.9¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
84¢ → 0¢ (-84.1¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
87¢ → 98¢ (+10.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±30¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.