
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? — live odds
"Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $564K has changed hands so far, $21K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-11¢ over the window
-11¢
24h change
$21K
24h volume
$564K
total volume
Nov 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 25m ago
High volatility
±30.7¢ swing band
- 55m ago
High volatility
±15.9¢ swing band
- 55m ago
Odds swing
55¢ → 99¢ (+44.2¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±13.1¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
81¢ → 100¢ (+18.5¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±19¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 93¢ (+22.9¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±29.7¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
65¢ → 57¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$564K has been traded in total, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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