Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 4, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" resolved YES on August 4, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $34K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$34K

total volume

Aug 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Quick answers

How did "Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.