Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? final odds

Resolved NO · September 14, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 4% implied probability.

"Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?" resolved NO on September 14, 2026 at a final price of 4¢ YES — a 4% implied probability — after $52K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

4%

implied probability

YES NO 96¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

$16K

24h volume

$52K

total volume

Sep 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±5.3¢ swing band

    16d ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.5¢ swing band

    16d ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 29¢ (+19.2¢ in 15 min)

    16d ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.3¢ swing band

    16d ago
How this market resolves

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 4¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 4¢ — an implied probability of 4%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$52K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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