Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — live odds
46%
implied probability
recent price
+20¢ over the window
+20¢
24h change
—
24h volume
$10K
total volume
Jul 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 19d ago
High volatility
±12.9¢ swing band
- 19d ago
High volatility
±7.1¢ swing band
- 19d ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 7¢ (-13.2¢ in 15 min)
- 20d ago
High volatility
±8.7¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?"?
The market currently prices YES at 46¢ and NO at 54¢, an implied probability of 46% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$10K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Tech markets
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
16%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
17%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
17%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
34%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
77%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
11%